Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2559.953209 2776.292420 2996.177051 3236.082351 3490.146301 3750.879940 4038.369166
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2171.853228 2488.062773 2822.319804 3200.781677 3616.174497 4057.022828 4559.040253
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1961.635713 2340.002801 2751.581353 3230.086722 3768.589242 4353.400710 5033.981977
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1783.653323 2203.401756 2671.325199 3227.597286 3866.735859 4574.017657 5411.670992
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1674.927149 2132.631906 2653.713456 3284.969965 4022.931669 4852.344791 5848.786223
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1539.200050 2018.505290 2575.403616 3262.318025 4078.591143 5009.427277 6142.622067
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1470.881890 1978.715048 2579.157421 3331.187205 4237.191010 5282.887527 6569.886441
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1386.003870 1912.304860 2545.394569 3350.225856 4332.793369 5480.044380 6906.775652
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1302.434139 1841.945192 2501.862210 3352.898000 4405.075518 5647.083655 7206.770635
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1180.205922 1715.314840 2381.975576 3255.196316 4349.584848 5656.569996 7314.900627
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1159.836089 1719.188184 2425.266776 3360.379757 4543.594576 5968.208745 7788.794405
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1125.236584 1701.862372 2439.561618 3427.519226 4689.665860 6221.720696 8193.611630
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1062.010660 1644.054509 2400.225662 3425.872520 4750.470315 6373.079416 8478.214016
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 989.340465 1569.768869 2336.145573 3389.499711 4765.243932 6466.392484 8691.448557
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 947.856915 1536.456003 2324.547664 3420.089570 4864.635346 6665.048840 9036.066631
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 897.254722 1487.527181 2289.488093 3417.490865 4919.514732 6806.800650 9309.573708
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 872.288462 1474.019615 2301.691700 3477.376898 5055.738090 7052.290308 9715.184824
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 820.528087 1418.715460 2253.718279 3453.733964 5080.330630 7154.125148 9938.588353
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 803.645847 1414.172088 2276.023452 3525.610762 5231.703886 7419.679696 10372.127163
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 771.201732 1384.521010 2261.402200 3545.478084 5312.915188 7594.457684 10690.234440
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 735.455883 1348.049875 2235.467916 3548.266439 5370.197386 7737.744315 10968.194118
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 671.031031 1263.772667 2137.186811 3446.300332 5282.359612 7688.472415 10994.802485
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 670.779333 1280.923326 2187.797954 3556.073455 5485.276275 8024.118182 11525.106796